Worldwide Security Alerts - WEEK 29, 2019


The most dangerous place in the world is where you are right now! Stay informed and avoid conflict with the help of Perpetual Traveller Intelligence.

---------- WEEK 29 ----------

22 July

Congo (DRC)
Kinshasa: Avoid protest march on 22 July due to risk of unrest
Avoid a protest planned for 22 July due to the credible risk of unrest. Supporters of President Felix Tshisekedi's Union for Democracy and Social Progress (UDPS) will gather at party headquarters in the Limete area at 09.00 (local time) before marching to the People's Palace (National Assembly). The organisers are condemning perceived attempts by former president Joseph Kabila's Front for Congo (FCC) coalition to block the formation of a new government. On 12 June, rival political supporters clashed during a similar gathering, with the security forces using tear gas and live ammunition to disperse the crowd.

Congo
Pool department: Travel risk rating reduced to MEDIUM amid improving security situation; border with Central African Republic raised to HIGH
We have lowered our travel risk rating for Pool department to MEDIUM from high, in light of continued progress towards ending the Ninja rebel insurgency. While some tensions persist in the region, the upholding of a ceasefire and widespread disarmament process has led to a significant improvement in the security environment. We are also raising the travel risk rating for areas within 20 miles (32km) of the border with Central African Republic (CAR) in Likouala and Sangha departments to HIGH from medium to reflect the risks posed by instability in these areas.

Egypt
North Sinai: Fatal militant attack on security checkpoint highlights EXTREME travel risks
At least two people were killed in a suicide bomb attack on a security force checkpoint on 18 July in the town of Sheikh Zuweid, east of El-Arish (both North Sinai province). According to the authorities, the attacker was challenged by security forces, who fired on the assailant when he failed to comply with instructions, causing the explosive vest he was wearing to detonate. The attacker and one soldier are the confirmed casualties. No group has yet claimed responsibility for the attack. The incident highlights the militant threat in North Sinai province, where travel risks are rated as EXTREME.

Jamaica
St Andrew parish: Continue following official directives amid extension of state of emergency
On the 18th of July, the Jamaican parliament has approved a 90-day extension of the current state of emergency (SoE) in St Andrew parish in southern Kingston. The initial SoE was imposed in St. Andrew on 7 July 2018 due to the high murder rate and other violent crimes including gun violence and gang activity. Extending the SoE will result in a continued heavy police presence throughout the parish. Members should exercise caution and follow all directives issued by the security forces.


23 JULY

Côte d'Ivoire
Abidjan: Avoid opposition protests on 23 July as precaution
Anticipate and avoid as a precaution a rally at the headquarters of the Independent Electoral Commission. The protests have been organised against recently introduced fees for obtaining national identity cards. Additional protests in other locations are likely.

24 JULY

Gabon
Monitor developments around calls for inquiry into president’s health; avoid weekly gatherings on Wednesdays 
In the coming weeks, monitor developments amid increasing opposition calls for an inquiry into the health of President Ali Bongo Ondimba. A civil society collective dubbed ‘Call to Action’ has called for weekly peaceful marches on Wednesdays.This follows the arrest on 15 July of Gerard Ella Nguema, the leader of the opposition Gabonese Patriotic Front (FPG), during a demonstration. Members should avoid all related gatherings as a precaution.

Russia
St Petersburg: Plan routes avoiding protest on 24 July at Lenin Square due to localised disruption
Plan routes avoiding a scheduled protest at Lenin Square due to the possibility of localised travel delays. The protest has been organised by the ‘Beautiful Petersburg' movement to demand free and fair local municipal and legislative elections, which are due in September. The protest is scheduled to begin at 19.00 (local time). While the rally is likely to pass off peacefully, it will be accompanied by a heightened police presence and may result in localised disruption.

25 JULY

Bangladesh
Urban centres: Expect travel disruption during opposition protests on 25 July 
In the coming days expect the travel disruption during demonstrations by the opposition Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP). The gatherings are being planned to call for the release of imprisoned leader Khaleda Zia, among other issues. Rallies are planned in Khulna (Khulna division) on 25 July. The BNP has also said that it will announce details of protests in other divisional headquarters later this month. It also intends to hold demonstrations in the capital Dhaka in the future. Associated rallies are expected to see attendance in the hundreds.

28 JULY

Ukraine
Urban centres: Exercise caution, avoid gatherings linked to 21 July snap parliamentary election
Members should exercise caution and avoid all gatherings linked to the 21 July snap parliamentary election, due to the potential for low-level unrest. Polling stations will open at 08.00 (local time) and close at 20.00. The police will be on heightened alert until 28 July. Increased security force presence can be expected near polling stations, key government facilities and transport hubs. Members should liaise with local contacts for information on election-related gatherings and locations of polling stations, which should be avoided as a precaution.

29 JULY

Nigeria
Expect, avoid further protests over imprisoned Shia Muslim leader due to risk of unrest 
Avoid the vicinity of demonstrations by the Shia Muslim Islamic Movement in Nigeria (IMN) On 16 July, the police used tear gas and, reportedly, live ammunition to disperse IMN protesters in Kaduna (Kaduna state), injuring two. The IMN’s detained leader Ibrahim el-Zakzaky is seeking bail to permit him to travel abroad for medical treatment. A court hearing due on 18 July has been adjourned until 29 July. Further unruly protests are likely if his bail is denied.


Until end of AUGUST

United Kingdom
Northern Ireland: Avoid parades and all other gatherings linked to marching season
Avoid all public gatherings and rallies linked to the ongoing annual marching season until the end of August by Loyalist (pro-union) and, to a lesser extent, Republican (pro-Irish unification and independence) groups. Annual 'Twelfth' parades were planned across Northern Ireland on 12 July, the most important date in the Loyalist marching season.In the Northern Irish capital Belfast.

EXERCISE CAUTION DURING UPCOMING WEEK

Armenia
Tavush province: Monitor for further protests in Ijevan linked to government efforts to tackle illegal logging
Monitor for further protests following violent protests that blocked the M4 Highway. The protests by local residents and representatives from the wood cutting and logging industry blocked the highway for several hours before it was broken up by the security forces. At least 13 people, including 11 members of the security forces, were injured and 13 people were arrested. Members should liaise with local contacts to stay abreast of developments and bypass areas affected by unrest.

Honduras
Atlantida, Cortes departments: Anticipate disruption due to ongoing protest blockade on CA-13 highway
Plan journeys accounting for a protest blockade some 95 miles (155km) to the east at La Masica (Atlantida department). Palm farmers there are demonstrating over low prices for their produce and calling for government assistance. Liaise with local contacts for the latest status of the route before setting out and allow additional time for journeys.

Hong Kong
Monitor for indicators of social unrest related to extradition bill; avoid associated gatherings
Monitor developments, especially indicators of social unrest, related to a controversial bill that would facilitate extraditions to mainland China. Protests will continue sporadically, particularly around government offices and transportation hubs in the Admiralty, Central and Wan Chai areas on Hong Kong Island. Unrest is also possible in Kowloon and suburban areas of the New Territories such as Sheung Shui and Sha Tin. Large-scale and/or spontaneous disruptive protests are more likely on flashpoint dates or following key triggers.

Chile
Valparaiso: Avoid vicinity of Parque Italia due to clashes between student protesters, police
Avoid the vicinity of reported clashes between protesters and the police at the intersection of Avenida Pedro Montt and Avenida Francia, near Parque Italia. Riot police have fired tear gas and used water cannon to disperse student protesters in the area.

Ethiopia
Continue to avoid gatherings linked to Sidama statehood; monitor developments
Ethnic Sidama youths clashed with the security forces in the regional capital Hawassa on 18 July after activists were prevented from gathering to unilaterally declare statehood for the Sidama ethnic group. Protesters barricaded roads, burned tyres and hurled stones at officers, who responded by firing tear gas and reportedly guns. While the Sidama leadership has now agreed to a statehood referendum in November, not all activists agree and further unrest is possible. All travel to the SNNPR requires enhanced precautions.

Kenya
Baringo county: Further attacks by armed bandits underlines need for precautions in MEDIUM risk rural areas
Exercise caution amid the threats posed by armed banditry. A raid by ethnic-Pokot bandits on 16 July in Kerio Valley (Baringo county) has led to heightened tensions in the area, despite community peace talks facilitated by local politicians in recent weeks. The raid follows attacks by cattle rustlers on 8 July in the Chemorongion and Kasiela areas of the county; one person was killed and three others were injured, including two police officers. More attacks are possible in the coming days and weeks.

Puerto Rico (US)
San Juan: Avoid all related gatherings due to risk of unrest connected to protest on 19 July calling for governor's resignation
Expect further protests demanding the resignation of Governor Ricardo Rossello following leaked text messages containing offensive comments. Protests in recent days over the issue have degenerated into unrest, with protests throwing bricks and fireworks, and police using tear gas, pepper spray and rubber bullets to disperse crowds. Thousands rallied in the capital on 17, 18 and 19 July, in a growing campaign to remove Rossello. All related gatherings in San Juan should be avoided due to the risk of unrest.


---------- WEEK 28 ----------

13 JULY

Sudan
Avoid commemorative nationwide gatherings on 13 July as a precaution
If on essential travel to Sudan on 13 July, avoid all nationwide “Millions March” gatherings, which are being organized by the Forces of Freedom and Change (FFC) opposition coalition to commemorate those killed in recent protests. While the gatherings are intended to be peaceful, there is persistent potential for renewed unrest. Despite positive developments including a tentative power-sharing agreement and the restoration of internet services, the situation remains fragile, highlighting the need for in-country travelers to exercise caution. Members should monitor developments and anticipate a heightened security force presence on the day.

16 JULY

Malawi
Urban centers: Continue to exercise caution, avoid gatherings related to the disputed general election
In the coming days, avoid all gatherings related to the May general election. The Human Rights Defenders Coalition has called for protests every Tuesday and Friday, beginning 16 July. Protesters are demanding that Malawi Electoral Commission (MEC) chairperson Jane Ansah resign over alleged voting irregularities. Outbreaks of unrest, as well as acts of arson and vandalism targeting political figures and institutions, have occurred during some recent rallies, highlighting the need for caution.

15,23 JULY

Côte d'Ivoire
Abidjan: Avoid opposition protests on 15, 23 July as a precaution
Anticipate and avoid as precaution demonstrations by opposition parties and civil society organizations. Members of the Forum of Organizations of the Ivorian Civil Society (FORSCI) on 15 July will gather in front of the Delegation of the European Union to Cote d’Ivoire. On 23 July, the Indignant Coalition of Cote d'Ivoire will hold a rally at the headquarters of the Independent Electoral Commission. The protests have been organized against recently introduced fees for obtaining national identity cards. Additional protests in other locations are likely.

Until 16 JULY

Balcan states & Europe
Albania, Bosnia & Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Greece, Macedonia, Montenegro, Romania, Serbia, Slovenia, and the geographical/political region of European Turkey.
Avoid climate change protests on until 16 July as a precaution; anticipate disruption
Anticipate disruption and avoid planned protests by climate change activists under the banner ‘Action Weeks for Balkan Rivers’. The protests are against plans to increase hydro-electric power provision across the region. The protests are likely to be well-attended in main urban centers.

18 JULY

Ethiopia
Closely monitor developments, anticipate protests related to Sidama regional demands
Protests in Southern Nations, Nationalities and People’s Region, following an announcement by leaders of the Sidama ethnic group that they will form a new regional state on 18 July unless the government organizes a referendum on the issue. Liaise with local contacts to stay abreast of any planned demonstrations, as well as reports of inter-communal violence; all gatherings should be avoided.

Until the end of AUGUST

United Kingdom
Northern Ireland: Avoid parades and all other gatherings linked to marching season
Avoid all public gatherings and rallies linked to the ongoing annual marching season until the end of August by Loyalist (pro-union) and, to a lesser extent, Republican (pro-Irish unification and independence) groups. Annual 'Twelfth' parades were planned across Northern Ireland on 12 July, the most important date in the Loyalist marching season. In the Northern Irish capital Belfast.

EXERCISE CAUTION DURING UPCOMING WEEK

Bangladesh
Dhaka: protests over rickshaw ban
Continue to avoid protests over the government’s decision to ban rickshaws in sections of the city. Related protests can be expected in the coming days. While protests have been peaceful thus far, they have caused significant traffic disruption in their vicinity due to blockades set up by the demonstrators. An increased security force presence can be expected around all related rallies.

The central African Republic
Bangui: Exercise vigilance, avoid PK5 quarter following fatal clashes
Avoid travel through or near the peripheral PK5 neighborhood following fatal clashes between armed groups overnight on 10-11 July. One civilian was killed and several injured in a grenade attack late on 10 July allegedly perpetrated by self-defense militias collecting protection money. A rival armed group reportedly carried out retaliatory attacks, in which at least 26 people have been injured. The situation remains fluid and tensions continue to run high in PK5, which is liable to further outbreaks of violence in the coming days.

Dominican Republic
Punta Cana: Sexual assault of US national highlights risks to female travelers need for precautions
A sexual assault on the United States national at a resort in Punta Cana (La Altagracia province) in June highlights crime risks in the Dominican Republic. The victim was reportedly drugged at a resort bar and subsequently sexually and physically assaulted in a room. She was then thrown from a second-floor balcony. The attack serves as a reminder to members to remain alert to their surroundings and to adopt additional security precautions when traveling to the Dominican Republic.

Kenya
Kakuma (Turkana county): Exercise caution, anticipate heightened security following communal unrest
Over the coming days, exercise caution and anticipate a heightened security force presence, following clashes between members of the local ethnic-Turkana community and Somali refugees. Unconfirmed local reports claimed that several people were killed in the unrest, which was prompted by a 9 July attack on a Somali woman in the Kakuma refugee camp. Hundreds of refugees on the following day initially protested peacefully in Kakuma town, but the gathering was subsequently disrupted by local Turkana residents. While the situation is currently stable, the development reflects Turkana’s HIGH travel risk rating.

Kuwait
Anticipate, avoid further protests in solidarity with Bidoon community
In the coming days, anticipate further protests in solidarity with the country’s stateless Bidoon community. Demonstrations were held at Erada square in the capital Kuwait City on 10 July and near an al-Shaabi mosque in Taima (Jahra governorate) on 8 July, following the 7 July suicide of a 20-year-old from the community. Activists have called for further gatherings at Erada Square in protest at the government’s policy towards Bidoon. Although the latest protests passed off peacefully, all such gatherings should be avoided as a precaution.

Mid East & North Africa
Continue to monitor developments following Iran’s 7 July announcement
It has been announced that it would begin enriching uranium above the 3.67% permitted under the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA; commonly known as the ‘Iran nuclear deal’). Iran had previously threatened such action if the deal’s remaining signatories did not address its economic concerns amid US sanctions. The announcement will put pressure on EU states to respond and further increase the likelihood that a miscalculation or miscommunication prompts an escalation.

Nigeria
Avoid further protests over the imprisoned Shia Muslim leader due to the credible risk of unrest
Members in the capital Abuja and the commercial capital Lagos (Lagos state), as well as Kaduna and other north-western states, should avoid further demonstrations by the Shia Muslim Islamic Movement in Nigeria (IMN). On 11 July, the police used tear gas and, apparently, live ammunition to disperse protesters at the Federal Secretariat in Abuja and in the Sabon Gari area of Kaduna city. A peaceful protest was held on the same day in Lagos. Further IMN gatherings are possible after Friday midday prayers.

Norway
Oslo: Police operation ongoing along Tollbugata following the shooting; avoid the area
A police operation is ongoing early on 12 July along Tollbugata in the Kvadraturen area of the capital Oslo following a shooting. The police have arrested a suspect and cordoned off the area. Reports indicate that bus services have been suspended between the Kvadraturen and Wessels Plass stops.

Pakistan
Plan journeys bypassing ongoing sit-in outside Press Club; avoid associated gatherings
In the coming days, plan journeys avoiding an ongoing sit-in outside the Press Club by nurses from the Sindh Nurses Alliance (SNA). Participants are demanding the authorities uphold a previous agreement made during related protests in May. On 10 July, protesters attempted to march to the Governor House and clashed with the police; roads around the Press Club and the Governor House were briefly closed. Avoid the vicinity as a precaution in the event of further clashes with the police.

Papua New Guinea
Hela province: Recent tribal violence underlines the need for stringent precautions
Tribal violence since 6 July has killed at least 24 local nationals in Hela province (Highlands region). Attacks between rival tribes have occurred in Karida, Munima and Peta villages in Hela's Tari-Pori district. As a result, an additional 100 officers will be deployed to boost the small police presence in the area. While tribal clashes are not uncommon in Hela and the wider Highlands region, these occasionally escalate into significant violence and can pose credible incidental risks to travelers. Adopt stringent security precautions and exercise extreme caution.

Peru
Loreto region: Anticipate disruption in coming days due to the ongoing strike, protests by indigenous groups
Allow additional time for journeys and plan routes avoiding protests by indigenous groups. The demonstrations are over delays in cleaning up an oil spill that occurred in the province in June. Roadblocks have been set up along the route 103 between Nauta and Iquitos, the capital of Maynas Province and Loreto region. A strike by indigenous groups is also underway across the province.

Somalia
SPECIAL ADVISORY: Mogadishu: Exercise caution amid an increase in attacks; liaise with providers over the feasibility of movement
At least one person was injured on 11 June in the capital Mogadishu when a home-made bomb attached to an armored vehicle detonated at around 16.00 (local time) on Maka al-Mukarama Road near the Waabi police station. No group has claimed responsibility. It was the third low-level, albeit central attack, to hit the capital since 8 July. If on the business-critical travel, exercise caution amid this spike in attacks targeting strategic infrastructure in the capital, including police check-points. Liaise with your dedicated security provider on the feasibility of all essential movements.

Somalia
Monitor developments following fighting in Sanaag, Togdheer regions
Over the coming days, monitor developments and liaise with local contacts following recent violence. Fighting between separatist Habar-Younis clan members and the Somaliland National Armed Forces (SNAF) has occurred in Sanaag and Togdheer regions, where the travel risks are respectively EXTREME and HIGH. At least nine people on 6-7 July were reportedly killed and dozens injured during initial clashes in El Afewyn (Sanaag). Related fighting and violent demonstrations on 10 July occurred in Goob, Erigbabo (both Sanaag) and Burao (Togdheer). Further violence is possible, including in the local capital Hargeisa, where the travel risks are rated MEDIUM.

South Africa
Cape Town: Expect heightened security in Cape Flats area due to the security operation
Expect heightened security in the Cape Flats area following the deployment of the South African National Defence Force (SANDF) on 12 July. The SANDF is due to conduct a joint security operation with the police later in the day. The operation is aimed at sealing off the Cape Flats, including the neighborhoods of Philippi, Delft and Hanover Park. Similar measures are planned in Khayelitsha, Gugulethu, eMfuleni, Kraaifontein, Mitchells Plain and Bishop’s Lavis. Plan the routes bypassing all affected areas.

---------- WEEK 27 ----------
Until 16 JULY

Balkan states & Europe
Albania, Bosnia & Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Greece, Macedonia, Montenegro, Romania, Serbia, Slovenia, and the geographical/political region of European Turkey.
Avoid climate change protests on 6-16 July as a precaution; anticipate disruption
Anticipate disruption and avoid planned protests by climate change activists under the banner ‘Action Weeks for Balkan Rivers’. The protests are against plans to increase hydro-electric power provision across the region. The protests are likely to be well-attended in main urban centers.

18 JULY

Ethiopia
Closely monitor developments, anticipate protests related to Sidama regional demands
Protests in Southern Nations, Nationalities and People’s Region, following an announcement by leaders of the Sidama ethnic group that they will form a new regional state on 18 July unless the government organizes a referendum on the issue. Liaise with local contacts to stay abreast of any planned demonstrations, as well as reports of inter-communal violence; all gatherings should be avoided.

EXERCISE CAUTION DURING UPCOMING WEEK

Congo (DRC)
Lualaba province: Exercise caution at mining sites due to heightened security, increased tensions
In the coming weeks, anticipate disruptive protests by artisanal miners, and attendant heightened security. Troops have been deployed to mines near Kolwezi, and between Tenke and Fungurume (all Lualaba) to remove all artisanal miners. A related protest outside the governor’s office in Kolwezi early on 4 July was forcibly dispersed, after which participants vandalized shops in the Kasulo neighborhood. Members should exercise caution as tensions and the risk of related disturbances persist.

France
Major cities: Continue to avoid weekly 'Yellow Vests' protests
Major gatherings are expected in the capital of Paris. Recent attendances at GJ rallies have fallen substantially below the levels seen in November-December 2018. The most recent protests in Paris on 06 July passed off peacefully with no disruption to Metro services.

Haiti
Continue to defer non-essential travel amid increased opposition-led protests, roadblocks
Defer non-essential travel to Haiti amid continued protests calling for the resignation of President Jovenel Moise. Further demonstrations and roadblocks are likely in the coming days. Our evacuation level for the country remains at EVACUATE: NON-ESSENTIAL STAFF. If remaining in Haiti, continue to minimize non-essential movement and avoid all protests, due to the risk of violence.

Israel
Anticipate, avoid further protests over fatal shooting of Ethiopian-Israeli
Over the coming days, anticipate and avoid further protests over the fatal shooting on 30 June of an Ethiopian-Israeli teenager by an off-duty police officer in Haifa. Previous gatherings have resulted in unrest and significantly disrupted road travel. Reconfirm the status of routes around protest flashpoints before setting out.

Mozambique
Fresh attacks reminder of risks posed by militancy in HIGH travel risk areas
Be reminded of the persistent risks from militancy following fresh attacks attributed to the al-Sunnah group. Insurgents attacked Nambija village overnight on 2 July, destroying 25 houses. On 26 June, eleven people were killed in an area between Quionga and the Tanzanian border, while two days earlier, seven civilians were killed in Diaca. The incidents come amid an increase in and spread of attacks across the province. Journeys to Cabo Delgado's HIGH travel risk districts require a pre-travel threat assessment and pre-arranged security support.

Niger
Tillaberi region: Attacks highlight travel risks posed by militant activity in border areas
Avoid all non-essential travel due to the risks posed by militancy. This follows a suicide attack on 1 July by a group of armed individuals against a military post in Inates (Tillaberi region), 11 miles (19 km) from the Malian border; 16 soldiers were killed. The attack was later claimed by the Islamic State West Africa (ISWA). A state of emergency in place across Tillaberi, Diffa and Tahoua regions has been extended until at least 18 September.

North Korea
Detention of Australian national underlines need to defer travel
The Australian national Alek Sigley, who had been detained by the authorities since 25 June, left North Korea on 4 July and arrived in Japan via Beijing (China) on the same day. His release came after the Swedish authorities liaised with their North Korean counterparts at Australia’s request. Travelers should be aware that there is extremely limited legal and diplomatic recourse for foreigners in the event of any dispute or detention. The developments also highlight the risk of arbitrary detention of foreigners by the authorities, and the need to defer travel to the country.

Pakistan
Fatal shooting at Lahore airport highlights need for vigilance
A 3 July fatal shooting at Lahore’s Allama Iqbal International Airport (LHE) highlights the need for vigilance in public areas of even relatively well-secured locations such as airports. Two people, including a bystander, were killed and two injured in the incident, which occurred near a parking area outside the arrivals terminal’s security cordon.

Tunisia
Recent attacks highlight risks posed by terrorism, need for vigilance
Exercise vigilance following three recent suicide bombings in the capital Tunis. A police officer on 27 June was killed and eight other people injured in two co-ordinated attacks at an intersection and near the counter-terrorism police headquarters. On 3 July, the suspected mastermind of those attacks blew himself up during a security operation in the Cite Intilaka area; no other casualties were reported. Heightened security measures remain in place at Tunis Carthage International Airport (TUN), while additional security force personnel have been deployed to tourist and archaeological sites nationwide.

---------- WEEK 26 ----------

01 JULY

Hong Kong
Avoid further protests against extradition bill; expect related disruption
On the 1 July, the anniversary of Hong Kong’s return to China in 1997, the Civil Human Rights Front (CHRF) will lead an annual march.

Turkey
Avoid Pride events hosted by the lesbian, gay, bisexual and transgender (LGBT) community due to the potential for localized unrest.
In the commercial capital Istanbul (Istanbul province), the authorities on 21 June denied permission for a parade in Bakirkoy Market on 30 June. Nonetheless, crowds may still gather for the event. A related march was banned in Izmir (Izmir province) on 22 June, though crowds still celebrated the event. The police forcibly dispersed the gathering and arrested at least 15 people.

02 JULY

France
Strasbourg: Plan journeys avoiding demonstration by pro-Catalan independence group on 2 July
Members in Strasbourg (Grand Est region) on 2 July should plan journeys avoiding a demonstration at 09.00 (local time) in front of the European Parliament. A pro-Catalonia (Spain) independence group is organizing the event to demand that the Spanish government release political prisoners, among other things. The gathering is likely to be well attended, causing disruption around the venue.

04 JULY

India
Puri, other cities: Expect disruption, heightened security during Hindu religious festival on 4 July
Expect disruption and heightened security on 4 July in the major cities during the annual Jagannath Rath Yatra Hindu religious festival. At least 1m people are expected at the main event in Puri (Odisha (Orissa) state) where large chariots will process through the city's streets to the Shree Gundicha and Shree Jagannath temples. Processions will also take place in the capital New Delhi, Ahmedabad (Gujarat state), Bangalore (Karnataka), Guwahati (Asom (Assam)), Hyderabad (Andhra Pradesh), Kolkata (West Bengal), Panaji (Goa), Patna (Bihar) Ranchi, Jamshedpur (Jharkhand), Mumbai (Maharashtra) and Varanasi (Uttar Pradesh). Temple cities such as Ujjain (Madhya Pradesh) will also see festivities.

EXERCISE CAUTION DURING UPCOMING WEEK

Congo (DRC)
Lualaba province: Exercise caution at mining sites due to heightened security, increased tensions
In the coming weeks anticipate heightened security due to increased tensions involving artisanal miners. Troops have been deployed around a copper and cobalt mine between Tenke and Fungurume to remove artisanal miners and secure the site. This follows a clash between the police and miners on 18 June in Kinsafu, and a dispute between artisanal miners and a Chinese mining company on 14 June in Kasulo. Although no further military deployments have been announced, members should exercise caution amid the ongoing tensions and risks of related protests.

Iraq
Baghdad: Liaise with security provider on the feasibility of movement following a protest outside Bahrain embassy
Members on business-critical travel in the capital Baghdad should monitor developments following a demonstration on 27 June outside the Bahrain embassy. Clashes occurred between protesters and the security forces. At least five security personnel were injured and around 50 people were arrested.The Bahraini ambassador was recalled as a result. The security forces on 28 June continued to block roads around the embassy. Further protests are possible. Members should continue to liaise with their dedicated security provider regarding the feasibility of essential movement.

Kazakhstan
Turkistan region: Anticipate, avoid further demonstrations by Arys residents over explosions at military warehouse
Anticipate and avoid further demonstrations by residents of the town of Arys. On 27 June, hundreds of people protested outside the Akhmeshit mosque in Shymkentcity. They blocked nearby roads and marched along the Tamerlane Highway to the city center. This comes after more than 40,000 people were evacuated to Shymkent following two explosions on 24 June at a military warehouse in Arys. Follow all official directives amid an ongoing state of emergency in the region.

Myanmar
Chin, Rakhine states: Attack on navy vessel highlights the potential for spillover violence in MEDIUM travel risk areas; adhere to official directives
The ethnic-Rakhine insurgent Arakan Army (AA) on 22 June fired rockets at a navy vessel near Rakhine state’s capital Sittwe, killing three security personnel and injuring others. The incident came amid ongoing fighting between the military and the AA in Rakhine and the southern parts of Chin state. Additionally, the authorities have extended a daily curfew and suspended internet access in parts of these states following recent fighting in Minbya (Rakhine). The developments highlight the potential for spillover violence in MEDIUM travel risk areas of Rakhine and Chin states and the attendant need for precautions.

Nepal
Discovery of bombs, reported violence underlines the need for vigilance
The security forces on 25 June discovered crude bombs and suspicious packages in more than two dozen locations across the country. The devices were safely defused. The discoveries coincided with a nationwide shutdown strike (bandh) by the banned Netra Bikram Chand-led Communist Party of Nepal (Maoist) (CPN (M)). On the same day, a local official’s vehicle in Nawalparasi district (Province 5) and municipal ward offices in parts of Sudurpashchim Pradesh province were targeted in arson attacks. These incidents underline the need for members to exercise vigilance, due to risks associated with militancy and social unrest.

Senegal
Urban centers: Continue to avoid anti-corruption protests
Continue to avoid protests organized by civil society groups and the opposition ‘Aar li Nu Bokk’ coalition (ANB) due to the risk of unrest. A gathering planned for 28 June at the Place de la Nation (formerly Place de l’Obelisque) was the third since the emergence of an oil and gas corruption scandal. A counter-protest by the ‘Samm sunu Reew’ group is also expected on the day in the same location. The gatherings, which are unlikely to be authorized, are liable to be forcibly dispersed, posing incidental risks to bystanders.

Tunisia
Expect heightened security, follow all official directives following terrorist attacks
In the coming days, anticipate heightened security after two suicide bombings on 27 June killed a police officer and injured eight other people. The attacks have been claimed by the extremist Islamic State (IS) group. While most police cordons have since been lifted, the immediate vicinity of the explosions remains closed to the public. Heightened security measures are in place at Tunis Carthage International Airport (TUN), but flights are operating normally. Additional security forces have been deployed to tourist and archaeological sites across the country, such as in Monastir province.

Ukraine
Urban centers: Anticipate short-notice disruption related to anonymous bomb threats
Over the coming weeks, anticipate short-notice disruption and follow official directives amid a spate of anonymous bomb hoaxes. Hundreds of threats in recent weeks have targeted universities, governmental and residential buildings, shopping centers, hospitals, major infrastructures such as power plants and transport hubs, including airports. These have prompted the evacuation of the relevant premises while investigations are carried out.

Zimbabwe
Monitor developments following foreign currency ban; avoid related socio-economic protests
Closely monitor developments and liaise with local contacts after the authorities on 24 June announced the banning of the use of foreign currency. The move makes the country’s interim Real Time Gross Settlement (RTGS) dollar the only legal tender and is part of a process intended to ultimately relaunch the Zimbabwean dollar. However, the precise implementation of the measure remains unclear. The main opposition Movement for Democratic Change (MDC) party and the ZCTU union, among other groups, have threatened to stage major demonstrations if the decision is not reversed. Members should avoid any such protests. 


---------- WEEK 25 ----------

23 JUNE

Mozambique
Anticipate disruption during scheduled power outages on 23 June 
Anticipate disruption during power cuts linked to annual maintenance work on 23 June. Power outages are scheduled from 06.00 to 15.00 (local time) in the capital Maputo, and from 05.00 to 16.00 in Cabo Delgado, Manica, Nampula, Niassa, Sofala, Tete and Zambezia provinces. The outages may exacerbate a generally erratic driving environment, particularly outside Maputo, and crime risks. Criminals may take advantage of blackouts to target residences and vehicles in traffic. Members should exercise increased caution and ensure their accommodation can cope with the outages. According to the authorities, the power cut will affect the supply of drinking water in Nampula.

Turkey
Avoid evening protests by lawyers in Istanbul Beyoglu district until 23 JuneThe Istanbul Bar Association (IBA) headquarters in Beyoglu district opposes the decision to annul the city’s municipal elections. 
It will gather daily from 20.00 to 21.00 (local time) until the re-run municipal polls. These are currently scheduled for 23 June.

25 JUNE 

Costa Rica
Urban centers: Avoid protests by teachers' union on 7, 11, 18, 25 June 
Avoid all protests by the APSE teachers' union over socio-economic reforms in the capital San Jose and other urban centers on 11, 18, and 25 June. Details have not been announced.

25-26 JUNE

Bahrain
Anticipate heightened security, avoid opposition protests during US-led conference in Manama on 25-26 June
Anticipate heightened security and avoid opposition protests during a US-led Israeli-Palestinian peace conference hosted in the capital Manama. The authorities are likely to implement additional roadblocks and spot-checks for the duration of the conference. The outlawed Shia Muslim al-Wefaq group and anti-government February 14 Youth Coalition have called protests to condemn Bahraini participation in the conference. Opposition protests are likely in Shia-majority villages near Manama. There is a credible risk of unrest at unauthorized gatherings, as the security forces are liable to forcibly disperse crowds.

28 JUNE

Germany
Berlin, Aachen: Climate protests on 28 June 
Climate change protests by students in Berlin. Around 200 students gathered as part of their weekly ‘Fridays for Future’ protests on 21 June. Organizers expect around 20,000 people to participate. A related gathering is planned for 28 June in Berlin. While these demonstrations tend to pass off peacefully, they can cause localized traffic disruption.

30 JUNE

Congo (DRC)
Urban centers: Anticipate, avoid further protests and related rallies scheduled for 30 June 
Anticipate and avoid further protests over the Constitutional Court’s invalidation of 23 parliamentary seats belonging to the opposition Lamuka coalition. Supporters of the Movement for the Liberation of the Congo (MLC) party in the capital Kinshasa also announced related major nationwide rallies on 30 June, though no further details are currently available.

01 JULY

Turkey
Urban centers: Avoid LGBT rallies planned until 1 July due to the potential for unrest 
Avoid pride marches by lesbian, gay, bisexual and transgender (LGBT) activists due to the potential for localized unrest. Although an LGBT march in Izmir (Izmir province) has been banned by municipal authorities – and one in Istanbul (Istanbul province) is likely to be prohibited – it remains possible that crowds will still attempt to gather. No related events have so far been announced in the capital Ankara, despite the authorities lifting a ban on LGBT events in the city in April.

Until 07 JULY

Brazil
Increased demand for transport during international football tournament until 7 July 
Avoid all protests during the Copa America football tournament, particularly in host cities and the capital of the host country, in an attempt to draw attention to local grievances. Additionally, violent clashes have broken out between fans of rival teams; such incidents are usually dispersed by the security forces using forcible measures. A significant influx of travelers means there will be an increased demand for accommodation and transport during the tournament, especially in host cities.

France
Anticipate heightened security, exercise vigilance until 7 July 
The 2019 FIFA Women’s World Cup football tournament is held in France from 7 June until 7 July. The event began on 07 June with a match at the Parc des Princes stadium in the capital Paris from 20.00 (local time). Fixtures will also take place in eight other cities. Heightened security, including road closures and an increased police presence, will be in place around host stadiums and any public viewing venues. Remain vigilant in large crowds and at transport hubs, particularly during the opening fixture and the semi-final and final matches.

Until 19 JULY

Egypt
Avoid protests, anticipate heightened security until 19 July 
Anticipate heightened security during the Africa Cup of Nations (AFCON) football tournament on 21 June-19 July due to an increased risk of militancy and potential unrest. The capital Cairo, Alexandria (Alexandria governorate), Ismailia (Ismailia governorate) and Suez (Suez governorate) will host the matches. Increased security is particularly likely around stadiums. Members in or planning travel to the country during AFCON should exercise vigilance and avoid all gatherings as a precaution.

21 JULY

Ukraine
Urban centers: Anticipate, avoid gatherings linked to 21 July snap parliamentary election 
Anticipate and avoid gatherings linked to the 21 July snap parliamentary election. Campaigning began on 24 May after President Volodymyr Zelensky’s early dissolution of the parliament. Official rallies and unauthorized demonstrations are likely to increase in frequency and attendance as election day approaches. Members should avoid all related gatherings due to the potential for low-level unrest.

Until 31 JULY

Myanmar
Rakhine state: Fighting in Minbya highlights the potential for spillover violence 
Fighting between the military and the ethnic-Rakhine insurgent Arakan Army (AA) around Minbya township (Mrauk-U district, Rakhine state) has intensified. Several civilians have been killed by mortar shelling, while hundreds of villagers have been displaced. The fighting has prompted the extension of daily curfew hours from 21.00 to 05.00 (local time) until the end of July in Kyauktaw, Minbya, Mrauk-U (all Mrauk-U), Rathedaung and Ponnaygun townships..

EXERCISE CAUTION DURING UPCOMING WEEK

Bolivia
Protests, roadblocks by farmers 
Demonstrations and roadblocks by farmers. Activists were planning to block National Route 2, the main road linking El Alto to Copacabana (also La Paz department) until their demands for more public spending in deprived areas of the city are met. The roadblock is supposed to last until at least 21 June, though it may go on longer; further related protests are also possible. Members should liaise with local contacts for details of alternative routes.

Burkina Faso
Northern, eastern regions: Fresh attack highlights risks posed by militant activity 
Seventeen people were killed overnight on 18-19 June by an armed group in Belehede village (Soum province, Sahel region), while surviving residents fled. The incident highlights the risk of militant attacks in HIGH travel risk northern areas, such as Soum and Loroum (Nord region) provinces, while spillover violence may occur in nearby MEDIUM travel risk locations. Journeys to HIGH travel risk zones should be for essential purposes only and undertaken with robust security arrangements.

Ghana
Awaso (Western North region): Exercise caution in coming days following recent unrest at the mining site 
Exercise caution following recent unrest at a local mining site. Employees on 17-18 June demonstrated at the site against alleged poor working conditions and pay. Several offices and vehicles were set alight, while roads to and from the site were blocked with burning tires. Police patrols have been stepped up in the area in a bid to prevent further disturbances.

Mali
Bamako: Planned demonstrations on 21 June 
Planned protests due to the risk of unrest. Youth groups marched to denounce violence in the Mopti region; further demonstrations are expected against the installation of the G5-Sahel counter-terrorism headquarters in Bamako. On 14 June, protesters blocked roads near the headquarters with burning objects; the police responded with tear gas. Bystanders face incidental risks in the event of similar unrest.

Middle East & North Africa
Continue to monitor developments amid heightened US-Iran tensions 
Continue to monitor developments amid heightened tensions between the US and Iran. President Donald Trump on 20 June apparently approved a limited military strike against Iran in retaliation for the shooting down of a US drone over the Strait of Hormuz earlier the same day; however, the strike was rescinded. Although neither the US or Iran will intentionally initiate direct conflict, such incidents increase the likelihood that miscalculation or miscommunication may prompt further escalation or retaliation. On 20 June, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) claimed to have shot down a US drone as it entered Iranian territory, though US officials insisted that it was in international airspace at the time. Although neither the US nor Iran will intentionally initiate direct conflict, such incidents continue to increase the likelihood that a miscalculation or miscommunication prompts a further escalation involving retaliatory measures. Our advice on travel to the Middle East remains unchanged.

Sudan
Darfur region: Rise in communal violence highlights HIGH travel risk rating
Defer all travel to the Darfur region following a recent rise in communal violence. According to the United Nations, 17 people were killed, 15 injured and over 100 houses destroyed during recent clashes between nomads and local residents in al-Dalij in Wadi Salih province (Central Darfur state). The clashes were triggered by increased prices at the local market. The incident follows reports from human rights groups claiming that the Janjaweed militia on 10 June shot dead 11 civilians and wounded another 20 in an attack in Dilaige (also Central Darfur state).

---------- Week 24. 2019 ----------

18, 25 JUNE

Costa Rica
Urban centres: Avoid protests by teachers' union on 11, 18, 25 June
Avoid all protests by the APSE teachers' union over socio-economic reforms in the capital San Jose and other urban centres on 11, 18, and 25 June. Details have not been announced.

30 JUNE

Congo (DRC)
Urban centres: Anticipate, avoid further protests and related rallies scheduled for 30 June
Anticipate and avoid further protests over the Constitutional Court’s invalidation of 23 parliamentary seats belonging to the opposition Lamuka coalition. Supporters of the Movement for the Liberation of the Congo (MLC) party in the capital Kinshasa also announced related major nationwide rallies on 30 June, though no further details are currently available.

Until 20 JUNE

Congo (DRC)
Anticipate disruption, avoid gatherings during opposition leader's nationwide tour on 10-20 June
Avoid all gatherings linked to a planned nationwide tour by prominent opposition figure Moise Katumbi. The event has been organised with the aim of reconnecting Katumbi, who has resided in Belgium for the last three years, with his supporters. Related gatherings are likely to be well-attended and may result in localised unrest.

Kyrgyzstan
Bishkek: Anticipate localised disruption, avoid gatherings linked to international summit 
Disruptions linked to the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) summit. Road closures have been instituted since 12 June and other additional security measures, including a heightened security force presence, can be expected. The authorities have prohibited all protests until 20 June. Any demonstrations held in defiance of the ban may be forcibly dispersed by the police, posing incidental risks to bystanders, and should be avoided as a precaution.

23 JUNE

Turkey
Avoid evening protests by lawyers in Istanbul Beyoglu district until 23 June
The Istanbul Bar Association (IBA) headquarters in Beyoglu district opposes the decision to annul the city’s municipal elections. It will gather daily from 20.00 to 21.00 (local time) until the re-run municipal polls. These are currently scheduled for 23 June.

Until 07 JULY

Brazil
Expect demonstrations, increased demand for transport during international football tournament from 16 June until 7 July
Avoid all protests during the Copa America football tournament. Past Copa America tournaments have seen protests, particularly in host cities and the capital of the host country, in an attempt to draw attention to local grievances. Additionally, violent clashes have broken out between fans of rival teams; such incidents are usually dispersed by the security forces using forcible measures. A significant influx of travellers means there will be an increased demand for accommodation and transport during the tournament, especially in host cities.

France
Anticipate heightened security, exercise vigilance during 2019 FIFA Women’s World Cup until 7 July
The 2019 FIFA Women’s World Cup football tournament is held in France from 7 June until 7 July. The event began on 07 June with a match at the Parc des Princes stadium in the capital Paris from 20.00 (local time). Fixtures will also take place in eight other cities. Heightened security, including road closures and an increased police presence, will be in place around host stadiums and any public viewing venues. Remain vigilant in large crowds and at transport hubs, particularly during the opening fixture and the semi-final and final matches.

Until 31 JULY

Myanmar
Rakhine state: Fighting in Minbya highlights potential for spillover violence in MEDIUM travel risk areas; adhere to official directives
Fighting between the military and the ethnic-Rakhine insurgent Arakan Army (AA) around Minbya township (Mrauk-U district, Rakhine state) has intensified since 2 June. Several civilians have been killed by mortar shelling, while hundreds of villagers have been displaced. The fighting has prompted the extension of daily curfew hours from 21.00 to 05.00 (local time) until the end of July in Kyauktaw, Minbya, Mrauk-U (all Mrauk-U), Rathedaung and Ponnaygun townships (both Sittwe district, Rakhine). The developments highlight the potential for spillover violence in MEDIUM travel risk areas of Rakhine, and the attendant need for precautions.

EXERCISE CAUTION DURING UPCOMING WEEK

Brazil
Rio de Janeiro: Fatal clashes between police, criminals reflect HIGH travel risks in deprived urban areas
Exercise caution and follow all official directives as local authorities undertake a police operation in and around the Cidade de Deus favela. At least eight people, including five alleged criminals, were killed in the operation when shoot-outs between criminals and the security forces occurred on 12-13 June. The incident reflects the HIGH travel risks associated with Rio de Janiero’s deprived areas and the need to avoid travel there.

Guinea
Nzerekore: Abide by curfew, exercise caution following violent protests
Abide by an overnight curfew from 16.30 to 07.00 (local time) and exercise caution following violent protests on 13 June. Clashes occurred between the police and demonstrators during a march by the opposition National Front for the Defence of the Constitution (FNDC) that saw at least two people were injured and eight arrested. The rally was denounce a possible constitutional amendment that would allow incumbent president Alpha Conde to stand for a third term. Previous FNDC protests in the region has been banned, and tensions and increased security will likely persist in the coming days.

Israel
Southern district: Exercise caution, monitor developments following renewed rocket fire from Gaza Strip
Avoid non-essential travel to locations within 25 miles (40km) of the border with the Gaza Strip (Palestinian Territories) following renewed rocket fire overnight on 13-14 June. At least one missile struck a building in Sderot (Southern district), causing no casualties. The Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) subsequently carried out retaliatory air strikes against militant targets in Gaza. This is the first attack since a fragile ceasefire ended the last round of fighting between the two sides in May. Members should exercise caution and monitor developments in the coming days.

Kenya
Fresh bandit attacks reflect HIGH travel risks, need for enhanced security precautions
A HIGH travel risks associated with the northern counties of Isiolo, Marsabit, Samburu, Turkana and West Pokot, following several recent attacks. Bandits late on 12 June ambushed a police vehicle in Turkana East (Turkana), killing a teacher who was being escorted by police officers, two of whom were injured. On the following day, another civilian was killed by bandits in Nakwamoru village, on the Turkana-West Pokot border. Late on 14 June, another armed attack was reported in Quri village (Isiolo), killing one person and injuring seven others.

Kenya
Somali border counties: Failed attack highlights HIGH risk rating, need to avoid non-essential travel
Avoid non-essential travel to Garissa, Lamu, Mandera and Wajir counties due to the threat from low level militancy from the Somalia-based Islamist extremist movement al-Shabab. Despite, the authorities closing the Kenya-Somalia border checkpoint in Kiangu (Lamu) on 11 June, four suspected al-Shabab militants on 14 June were killed after the premature explosion of their bomb near Kwa Omollo Bridge on Bodhai-Bar’goni road. The failed attack illustrates the persistent threat from al-Shabab and that essential journeys to HIGH risk areas requires enhanced precautions.

Mexico
Mexico City: Increase in kidnappings highlights need for precautions
According to the authorities, 26 abductions were reported in the capital Mexico City during the first four months of 2019, representing a 271% increase on the same period of 2018. While kidnap victims are primarily Mexican nationals, foreigners are periodically targeted. Travellers in Mexico should observe precautions, such as varying daily routines and keeping personal information confidential at all times.

Saudi Arabia
Drone, rocket attacks in Asir province highlight need to exercise caution; normal travel can continue
The authorities on 14 June announced that Saudi air defence forces had intercepted five drones launched by the Yemen-based Houthi group against Abha International Airport (AHB) and Khamis Mushait (both Asir province). The airport is currently operating normally and no casualties or damage have been reported. The incident comes after a missile on 12 June also struck Ahba airport, injuring 26 people. While these attacks are notable, they are within the Houthi group’s known capabilities and Saudi defences remain able to intercept most missiles and drones. Normal travel can continue, though members should exercise caution around likely targets for attack.

Sudan
Continue to minimise non-essential movement, monitor developments
Following the agreed resumption of indirect negotiations between the Transitional Military Council (TMC) and opposition groups, a general strike cancelled. US and Ethiopian diplomatic envoys have pledged to continue mediation efforts, as opposition groups call on the TMC to move towards the restoration of civilian rule. However, widespread uncertainty and scepticism over the outcome persist, and renewed unrest is possible.

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